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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Prediction markets can take bets on outlandish events that ‘get laundered into legitimacy,’ Gen Z’s favorite economic commentator warns

“Legitimacy increasingly flows to whoever processes uncertainty first. Markets have optimized for speed. Democracy has been designed for deliberation.”

Fortune

Americans are now betting on winter storm totals on Polymarket and Kalshi

A winter storm is expected to disrupt the U.S. this weekend — and some people could make a few extra bucks.

Axios

ICE vs Coinbase: The Race for Dominance in a 24/7 Market

Intercontinental Exchange and Coinbase are aggressively building the infrastructure required to dominate the emerging era of continuous global asset trading.

MarketBeat

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read the most diverse news in one place.

Wall Street is once again banking on the TACO trade because they've been 'burned' by believing Trump before

At the time of writing, only 17% of Polymarket bettors believe all the tariffs Trump has threatened against Europe will go into effect on Feb. 1. A further minority of 40% believe any tariffs will go into effect in a fortnight’s time.

Fortune

Suspicious Polymarket Bet Sparks Fears of US Strike on Iran

A sudden spike in Polymarket bets on a US strike against Iran sparks fear and speculation of insider knowledge, unsettling markets worldwide.

International Business Times UK

Crypto betting site Polymarket under fire for taking direct wagers on wars

In recent weeks the popular crypto-based betting market has added multiple contracts that allow users to gamble on potential geopolitical events

The Independent UK

All The Golden Globes BTS Tea, From Celebs Breaking Rules To Kylie Jenner’s Name Card

Go behind the 2026 Golden Globes telecast for all the off-camera chaos: backstage fires, missing awards & Swift-adjacent drama,

Pedestrian.tv

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An anonymous Polymarket trader made $400,000 betting on Maduro’s downfall—and now Washington wants answers

One congressman wants to pass a bill that would ban government employees from insider trading on prediction markets. But is it enough?

Fortune

A huge bet payout after Maduro’s capture turns spotlight on murky world of prediction markets

The commercial use of prediction markets has skyrocketed in recent years

The Independent UK

How markets have cashed in on Maduro’s capture in Venezuela – and why it’s raising questions

On January 3, the world watched in disbelief as the Venezuelan president, Nicolás Maduro, was captured by US forces. It was a dramatic geopolitical event that would reverberate not just in Washington and Caracas, but deep into global financial markets.

The Conversation

Bets are flooding into Polymarket on which country Trump could attack next

It comes after one trader won more than $400,000 with a wager that Nicolas Maduro would be ousted as leader of Venezuela

The Independent UK

Online Sleuths Claim Barron Trump Is Behind 'Suspicious' Maduro Prediction Bet—Here's Why

A mystery trader made $400,000 betting on the capture of Nicolás Maduro just hours before the U.S. invasion. Online sleuths suspect Barron Trump as 'insider trading' allegations rock Polymarket.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Allegedly Avoids Paying $10.5M in Bets by Redefining 'Invasion'

Traders dispute Polymarket's event classifications, raising concerns over transparency and fairness. The platform is US-licensed but unapproved in Britain.

International Business Times UK

Gambling platform Polymarket not paying bets on US invasion of Venezuela

Gamblers who placed wagers totalling $10.5m angered after capture of Nicolás Maduro deemed not to qualify

The Guardian - UK

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International Business Times UK

Mystery Trader Turns $34k to $400,000 After Trump's Venezuela Raid

A mystery trader made £316,000 ($400,000) on Polymarket betting on Maduro's downfall hours before Trump's raid, sparking fears of insider trading.

International Business Times UK

Jesus Christ's Second Coming: Punters To Win 5,700% If Messiah Returns After 'Dumbest' Bet Hits

Punters stand to win more than 5,700% on a controversial online bet predicting the Second Coming of Jesus Christ, reigniting debate over faith, probability and prediction markets.

International Business Times UK

Planned Bill by US Congressman Set to Ban Insider Trading After Bettor Cashed-in Big on Maduro Capture

New York congressman Ritchie Torres is proposing a bill to criminalise insider trading after a Polymarket bettor won over $400,000 for Maduro capture.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Mystery Trader Makes $410,000 in Hours as Insider Bet Speculation Grows Over Maduro's Fall

An anonymous trader turned a bold bet into $410,000 in hours by predicting Maduro's fall on Polymarket, raising questions about insider information and market ethics.

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news in one place.

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Axios

$30,000 Maduro bet sparks debate over prediction markets' insider trading exposure

Insider trading on prediction markets is generally not against the law — and critics say that's a problem.

The Independent UK

Mystery bettor made huge windfall gambling on Maduro’s fall hours before it happened

More than half of the value of the total bets the trader made against the Venezuelan president came from wagers made in the hours before the U.S. attack on Caracas

Axios

Lucrative online trades on Maduro ouster spur new bill to ban Polymarket insider trading

Rep. Ritchie Torres' bill would ban government officials from making prediction market trades based on insider information.

The Independent UK

Marco Rubio sees his 2028 odds soar on Polymarket after Venezuela attacks

Secretary of state’s role in ousting of Nicolas Maduro raises prospects of White House run as President Donald Trump’s successor – but JD Vance still in pole position

Fortune

One Polymarket user made more than $400,000 in profits betting on Maduro’s capture on an investment made within 24 hours of the military action

The series of bets from the account raised concerns about insider trading on the prediction market platform.

The Guardian - UK

US traders make big profits betting on Maduro’s capture in January

Arrest of Venezuelan president appears to have been anticipated on ‘prediction markets’ where people bet on future events

Reason

Polymarket Returns to U.S. Users After a Nearly 3-Year Hiatus

The online betting company allows you to stake money on future events.

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