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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Tesla Analyst Says Elon Musk Will 'Be Heavy On Optimism And Light On Truth' For Q3 Earnings Call

A notable Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) bearish analyst shares thoughts on what the company will report for third-quarter financial results and what CEO Elon Musk will say on the conference call.

Benzinga

Aliens Are More Likely Than $200,000 Bitcoin In 2025, Polymarket Odds Say

Prediction market Polymarket now gives higher odds of confirmed alien existence this year than Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) reaching $200,000, a data quirk that's sparking debate across crypto and prediction circles.

Benzinga

Bitcoin's Odds Of Dipping Below $100,000 This Month Stand At 52%, Says Polymarket

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has a 52% chance of falling below $100,000 this month, according to data from prediction platform Polymarket.

Benzinga

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Polymarket Says $95,000 Is More Likely Than $130,000 — But This Bitcoin Trendline Disagrees

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is stuck near $111,000 as prediction markets see a slide toward $95,000 as possible, even while technical charts still flash room for a rebound toward $130,000.

Benzinga

Will Tesla, Nvidia End Thursday Up Or Down? Of Course, You Don't Know For Sure, But You Can Bet the Outcome on Polymarket

Blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket introduced a new “up/down” equity market feature, allowing users to bet on specific stocks and benchmarks.

Benzinga

Kalshi is the early leader in prediction markets, but its rival Polymarket is worth nearly twice as much. Why?

Polymarket is a crypto-native company, which could put it in position for a windfall.

Fortune

Why the New York Stock Exchange just crowned a Gen Z billionaire: Shayne Coplan figured out a society that gambles on everything

Coplan, 27, started Polymarket in the bathroom of his Lower East Side apartment.

Fortune

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DraftKings Vs. Kalshi Vs. Polymarket: Q3 Results, Guidance To Show Who's Leading NFL Betting Market

DraftKings Inc (NASDAQ:DKNG) could benefit from the expected record $30 billion to be legally wagered on the 2025 NFL season. That’s an 8.5% increase from last year's betting handle.

Benzinga

Nobel peace prize officials investigate surge in bets for winner

Bets for Maria Corina Machado spiked on Polymarket gambling site hours before she was awarded prize

The Guardian - US

Will Trump Win The Nobel Peace Prize? Crypto Bettors Don't Think So, Favor Venezuela's María Corina Machado Instead

President Donald Trump's allies may be pushing for his Nobel Peace Prize victory, but cryptocurrency bettors favor Venezuelan politician María Corina Machado as the likely winner.

Benzinga

Polymarket Founder's Redemption Arc: From Broke Dropout To Youngest Self-Made Billionaire

Prediction market Polymarket has taken the world by storm and is currently disrupting the sports betting sector. With a new investment from New York Stock Exchange parent Intercontinental Exchange Inc (NYSE:ICE), the company's founder has become the world’s youngest self-made billionaire.

Benzinga

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan Recalls Early Struggle Building The Platform From 'Bathroom Office' After Running Out Of Money: 'Little Did I Know…'

Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan reflected on the origins and his personal journey in setting up the cryptocurrency-based prediction market platform on Tuesday.

Benzinga

Rally Fades on Mixed AI Revolution News: Stock Market Today

All three main U.S. equity indexes opened higher but closed lower as a seven-session winning streak for the S&P 500 came to an end.

Kiplinger

NYSE Parent ICE Just Bet $2 Billion On A Platform That Lets You Trade On What Happens Next

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE:ICE) traded higher Tuesday after the New York Stock Exchange owner unveiled a strategic investment in Polymarket, the event-probability and prediction market platform.

Benzinga

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Fortune

New York Stock Exchange parent company invests $2 billion in Polymarket at $9 billion valuation

The investment follows a previous venture round that reportedly valued the prediction market at more than $1 billion.

Benzinga

NYSE Parent ICE Stock Surges After Reported $2 Billion Polymarket Investment

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE:ICE) rose 4% in premarket trading on Tuesday after reports said it will invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing the prediction market platform near $8 billion, according to WSJ.

Benzinga

Ethereum To Rise Above $5,000 In 2025? Polymarket Bettors See 87% Odds As Arthur Hayes Loads Up On ETH

Cryptocurrency bettors saw high chances of Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) hitting $5,000 this year as whales continued to pile on the second-largest cryptocurrency.

Fortune

Gold and Bitcoin go through the roof as U.S. shutdown forces investors to trade in the dark

There is a 67% chance that the U.S. federal government shutdown will last longer than 10 days, according to bettors on Polymarket—and for stock traders that will feel like an eternity.

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Benzinga

Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Futures Gain As Government Enters 2nd Week Of Shutdown—Plug, Lithium Americas, UiPath In Focus (UPDATED)

Editor’s Note: The future prices of benchmark tracking ETFs were updated in the story.

Benzinga

Government Shutdown Could Drag On Until October 15: Polymarket Bets On 70% Chance Of Reopening Beyond Half A Month

The ongoing government shutdown, which commenced at the start of the month, is now predicted by Polymarket to extend well into October, with a significant 70% probability of lasting until Oct.15th or even later.

Benzinga

Solana Ready For $320–$360 After Bullish Retest, Says Popular Crypto Analyst, But Polymarket Punters Bet SOL Is Going To This Level Instead

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) rallied sharply alongside the broader market on Wednesday, but cryptocurrency bettors are not going overboard with lofty expectations for the year.

Benzinga

Trump Warns Of 'Irreversible' Consequences As Shutdown Chances Reach 85% On Polymarket

President Donald Trump on Tuesday signaled a shutdown was "probably likely" as prediction market traders price an 86% of a U.S. government shutdown before midnight.

Fortune

Investors are betting big on 'prediction markets' Kalshi and Polymarket—will the gamble pay off?

The two startups generated huge buzz by accurately predicting the 2024 election results. Their young founders still face long odds.

Benzinga

Trump To Huddle With Members Of Congress Even As Polymarket, Kalshi Bettors Put Government Shutdown Odds At 60%

Prediction markets indicated a strong possibility that the federal government would be shut down this week as President Donald Trump prepares to meet key members of Congress on Monday.

Benzinga

XRP Punters Still Eye $4 Despite Recent Slump — Here's How Prediction Markets Are Betting

XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) may have stagnated over the month, but cryptocurrency bettors haven’t completely discounted the possibility of fresh all-time highs by year-end.

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