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The Latest Breaking News from CFTC

US government sues Illinois, alleging unlawful efforts to regulate prediction markets

Booming prediction market sites, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, face scrutiny from states and Congress

The Guardian - US

New top federal enforcer has his sights set on ending insider trading in prediction markets

“We will aggressively detect, investigate, and where appropriate, prosecute insider trading in the prediction markets,” said CFTC director of enforcement David Miller.

Fortune

Flutter Stock Could Be a Big Winner as Lawmakers Zero In on Prediction Markets. Should You Buy FLUT Here?

Flutter's stock is surging on strong results, but a new bipartisan bill targeting prediction markets could shake up FLUT's boldest growth bet. Here's what investors need to know.

Barchart

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Hogs Mixed at Midday

Lean hog futures are mixed at midday, with most contracts within 30 cents of unchanged. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday morning due to light volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was back down 9 cents on March 19 at $91.95. Friday’s CFTC Commitment of Traders...

Barchart

Move to ban sports betting on prediction sites sees bipartisan support

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Senators want to ban sports betting on prediction sites like Polymarket and Kalshi: report

Sens. Adam Schiff and John Curtis want to prevent the apps from allowing sports betting as the practice becomes more integrated in professional leagues

The Independent UK

New crypto regulations likely to be big favor to the Trump family, industry insiders say

Regulators narrow securities definitions – a shift that could benefit Trump family’s crypto projects

The Guardian - US

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Kalshi locks in $22 billion valuation, gaining slight edge over its fierce rival Polymarket

The startup has doubled its valuation in about two months.

Fortune

MLB partners with Polymarket, makes integrity pact with federal commission on prediction markets

Major League Baseball is entering an official partnership with Polymarket and has an agreement with the federal commission overseeing prediction markets to collaborate on integrity concerns

The Independent UK

Mick Mulvaney: Stop calling it a 'prediction market.' It’s sports betting

The former White House chief of staff says it's time to call the illegal gambling operation, run through a regulatory backdoor, what it really is.

Fortune

Arizona Charges Kalshi in Crackdown on Alleged Illegal Gambling

The web-based prediction market platform Kalshi is facing criminal charges brought by the state of Arizona for operating an alleged illegal gambling business, allowing users to bet on elections.

International Business Times

What's Driving Grains Higher?

The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report confirmed what I already knew in the Grains sector.

Barchart

Corn Closes Higher on Friday as CFTC Data Shows Spec Longs Flooding In

Corn futures rounded out the Friday session with contracts steady in some deferreds to 4 ¾ cents higher in the front months as March expired. May closed the week with a 6 ¾ cent gain from on the week. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was up 4 3/4...

Barchart

Cotton Posts Friday Rally

Cotton futures posted Friday gains of as little as 7 points in some deferreds, with front months up as much as 74 points. May was up 165 points on the week.. Crude oil was up $3.57 to $99.30, with the US dollar index up $0.776 to $100.530. CFTC data from...

Barchart

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The Guardian - UK

Betting on nuclear war: what are prediction markets and could they come to the UK?

The lowdown on Polymarket and Kalshi, the pitfalls and the odds on US-style exchanges taking off in Britain

Roll Call

Life After Congress: A prediction market duo

Sean Patrick Maloney and Patrick McHenry didn’t see eye to eye in Congress — but they’re united on this.

International Business Times

Prediction Market Traders Who Made Millions Betting on Iran Strikes Spark Insider Trading Concerns

A small group of traders on Polymarket have earned substantial profits by wagering on the timing and outcomes of U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran.

Roll Call

Lawmakers seek to boost CFTC budget to take on crypto oversight

Lawmakers seek to boost CFTC budget to take on crypto oversight - Fintech

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The Independent UK

Trump administration backs Kalshi, Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

The Trump administration has backed Kalshi and Polymarket in a court fight over whether prediction markets constitute gambling

Barchart

Cotton Weakness Holding on Tuesday

Cotton futures are down 30 to 50 points across most front months on Tuesday. Crude oil futures are down 70 cents per barrel on the day at $62.19. The US dollar index is down $0.371 to $97.190. CFTC data showed a total of 3,856 contracts added to the spec net...

The Guardian - US

Surging prediction markets face legal backlash in US: ‘Lines have been blurred’

At least 20 federal suits filed against companies like Kalshi and Polymarket as lawmakers call it ‘loophole’ for gambling

The Independent UK

How one small Super Bowl halftime cameo sparked betting chaos

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Cardi B’s Super Bowl cameo sparks formal complaint to US regulator

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show on Sunday but a dispute has arisen as to whether the star was singing

Barchart

Hogs Posting Gains at Midday

Lean hog futures are trading $2 to $2.25 higher in the front months as Feb was up 80 cents. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday morning due to light volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was up another 6 cents on Jan 29 at $85.78. CFTC...

The Guardian - US

On Polymarket, ‘privileged’ users made millions betting on war strikes and diplomatic strategy. What did they know beforehand?

The prediction market’s disciples and CEO believe its an unbiased way of knowing the future. But experts warn users could reshape the world to win big

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