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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Online Sleuths Claim Barron Trump Is Behind 'Suspicious' Maduro Prediction Bet—Here's Why

A mystery trader made $400,000 betting on the capture of Nicolás Maduro just hours before the U.S. invasion. Online sleuths suspect Barron Trump as 'insider trading' allegations rock Polymarket.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Allegedly Avoids Paying $10.5M in Bets by Redefining 'Invasion'

Traders dispute Polymarket's event classifications, raising concerns over transparency and fairness. The platform is US-licensed but unapproved in Britain.

International Business Times UK

Gambling platform Polymarket not paying bets on US invasion of Venezuela

Gamblers who placed wagers totalling $10.5m angered after capture of Nicolás Maduro deemed not to qualify

The Guardian - UK

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Mystery Trader Turns $34k to $400,000 After Trump's Venezuela Raid

A mystery trader made £316,000 ($400,000) on Polymarket betting on Maduro's downfall hours before Trump's raid, sparking fears of insider trading.

International Business Times UK

Jesus Christ's Second Coming: Punters To Win 5,700% If Messiah Returns After 'Dumbest' Bet Hits

Punters stand to win more than 5,700% on a controversial online bet predicting the Second Coming of Jesus Christ, reigniting debate over faith, probability and prediction markets.

International Business Times UK

Planned Bill by US Congressman Set to Ban Insider Trading After Bettor Cashed-in Big on Maduro Capture

New York congressman Ritchie Torres is proposing a bill to criminalise insider trading after a Polymarket bettor won over $400,000 for Maduro capture.

International Business Times UK

Polymarket Mystery Trader Makes $410,000 in Hours as Insider Bet Speculation Grows Over Maduro's Fall

An anonymous trader turned a bold bet into $410,000 in hours by predicting Maduro's fall on Polymarket, raising questions about insider information and market ethics.

International Business Times UK

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$30,000 Maduro bet sparks debate over prediction markets' insider trading exposure

Insider trading on prediction markets is generally not against the law — and critics say that's a problem.

Axios

Mystery bettor made huge windfall gambling on Maduro’s fall hours before it happened

More than half of the value of the total bets the trader made against the Venezuelan president came from wagers made in the hours before the U.S. attack on Caracas

The Independent UK

Lucrative online trades on Maduro ouster spur new bill to ban Polymarket insider trading

Rep. Ritchie Torres' bill would ban government officials from making prediction market trades based on insider information.

Axios

Marco Rubio sees his 2028 odds soar on Polymarket after Venezuela attacks

Secretary of state’s role in ousting of Nicolas Maduro raises prospects of White House run as President Donald Trump’s successor – but JD Vance still in pole position

The Independent UK

One Polymarket user made more than $400,000 in profits betting on Maduro’s capture on an investment made within 24 hours of the military action

The series of bets from the account raised concerns about insider trading on the prediction market platform.

Fortune

US traders make big profits betting on Maduro’s capture in January

Arrest of Venezuelan president appears to have been anticipated on ‘prediction markets’ where people bet on future events

The Guardian - UK

Polymarket Returns to U.S. Users After a Nearly 3-Year Hiatus

The online betting company allows you to stake money on future events.

Reason

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Euronews

The business of predicting the future is booming but EU regulators remain uneasy

Prediction markets are ushering in a new era where collective judgement and "crowd wisdom" are no longer theoretical concepts but tradable commodities. Yet despite their growing success, they remain banned in many EU countries.

Barchart

Have a MERRY Christmas With These 9 Unusually Active Options

In the past year, there have been many interesting stocks and their unusually active options to discuss. Whether you do or don’t celebrate Christmas, here are nine stocks whose unusually active options make for good bets in 2026.

Axios

Sportsbooks go all in-on prediction markets

The prediction markets battle is unfolding on three distinct fronts as legal and regulatory questions swirl.

Reason

Cannavictory

Plus: Polymarket bets on when killers will be apprehended, how locking up phones saves high school, and more...

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Benzinga

NBA Star Tristan Thompson Foresees Sports Gambling New Normal Taking Over Soon: 'This is Going to Happen'

Prediction markets are poised to transform how fans engage with professional sports, according to NBA champion Tristan Thompson. He believes real-time odds and fan sentiment will soon become as commonplace on broadcasts as social media integration is today.

Benzinga

The Future of Finance? Google Is Bringing Betting Odds Directly To Your Screen, Sparking Calls For 'Addiction Warnings'

Google announced earlier this month that it will integrate odds from online betting platforms Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket into its Google Finance tools amid pushback from lawmakers over the evolution of modern-day gambling.

Benzinga

Trump's Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Reserve Isn't Happening Anymore In 2025, Polymarket Traders Predict

Polymarket traders now assign almost zero probability that the Trump administration's proposed national cryptocurrency reserve will become operational in 2025, marking a sharp collapse in confidence after early-year optimism.

Fortune

Battle for sports betting market heats up as Polymarket announces return to the U.S.

The prediction market giant rolls out mobile platform almost four years after regulators banned it from the U.S.

Benzinga

Polymarket Returns To The US As Rumored Insider Pockets $1 Million On Google Trends Market

Polymarket has relaunched in the United States with CFTC approval and a regulated betting app, with a market about Google’s most-searched person in 2025 going viral for potential insider involvement.

Benzinga

Ross Gerber Says Prediction Markets Are Just 'Illegal' Sports Betting Operations As Kalshi Faces Increased Legal Heat

Renowned investor Ross Gerber likened prediction markets to “illegal sports betting” on Wednesday amid a legal crackdown on such platforms.

Benzinga

Polymarket Rival Kalshi Becomes CNN's Official Prediction Market Partner As Valuation Touches $11 Billion

Kalshi said on Tuesday that it will become news channel CNN‘s official prediction markets partner, as the Polymarket rival hit a valuation of $11 billion after its latest funding round.

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