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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Musk’s two-word response to Anthropic CEO’s claim its AI may have gained consciousness

Anthropic makes the popular AI chatbot, Claude

The Independent UK

Betting, memes and AI slop: How the smartphone era turned war in Iran into a game show

IN DEPTH: As the war between Iran and the US and Israel enters its second week, the internet is awash with misinformation and doctored content while punters are waging bets on the outcome of the conflict using crypto. Experts tell Bryony Gooch that a new, frightening way of experiencing war…

The Independent UK

Betting on nuclear war: what are prediction markets and could they come to the UK?

The lowdown on Polymarket and Kalshi, the pitfalls and the odds on US-style exchanges taking off in Britain

The Guardian - UK

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Life After Congress: A prediction market duo

Sean Patrick Maloney and Patrick McHenry didn’t see eye to eye in Congress — but they’re united on this.

Roll Call

Prediction Market Traders Who Made Millions Betting on Iran Strikes Spark Insider Trading Concerns

A small group of traders on Polymarket have earned substantial profits by wagering on the timing and outcomes of U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran.

International Business Times

NBA star's partnership with a prediction market raises new questions for a troubled sports betting landscape

The NBA star announced he would become a shareholder in the largest U.S> prediction market.

Fortune

Suspected Insiders Reportedly Made Nearly £780K Betting on a US Strike on Iran With Wallets Funded in the Last 24Hours

Six crypto wallets reportedly profited from insider trading on Polymarket, betting on US strikes in Iran. Allegations of insider trading arise as wallets show suspicious activity.

International Business Times UK

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Millions of dollars placed on prediction markets after US airstrikes on Iran as global unrest provides get-rich-quick opportunities

Bettors have placed more than $36M worth of wagers on whether or not there will be a regime change in Iran

The Independent UK

The Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case takes an ugly turn as a $180,000 scandal is exposed

Humanity proves that it can sometimes do horrible things at the cost of the innocent.

We Got This Covered

Nancy Guthrie Case: Backlash Erupts as $188,000 Wagered on Kidnap Arrest

As Polymarket users wager over $188,000 on an arrest in 84-year-old Nancy Guthrie's disappearance, critics warn prediction markets are profiting from a live case.

International Business Times UK

Kalshi fines MrBeast employee $20,000 for insider trading, cofounder issues salty warning to others

Kalshi also fined a political candidate, and its cofounder issued an off-color warning to others thinking of insider trading.

Fortune

Everything can be a bet now – the rise and risks of prediction markets

Yes or no? It’s a simple question that now drives more than US$13 billion (£9.7 billion) a month on prediction markets – companies like Polymarket, PredictIt and Kalshi.

The Conversation

Streamer Clavicular breaks silence on Polymarket 20% prediction during Piers Morgan Uncensored after charges were dropped

Clavicular reacted after Polymarket predicted a 20 percent chance he could be charged with a crime by June 30. Speaking on the Piers Morgan Uncensored, he said he would try to stay out of trouble. His recent Arizona arrest was dismissed, but controversy and online speculation continue to follow him.

The Times of India

Hungarian polls split on April election outcome as Fidesz and Tisza trade leads

The central European country of 9.5 million faces a crucial vote in less than two months, with polls showing wildly different outcomes depending on who conducts the survey.

Euronews

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Fortune

Sports-focused prediction market Novig raises $75 million to challenge Kalshi and Polymarket

Novig’s Series B values the startup at $500 million with backing from Pantera Capital, Multicoin, and Forerunner.

Fortune

Inside Dragonfly Capital’s $650 million fourth fund and its early bets on Polymarket and Rain

Why the crypto VC has thrived despite a new bear market.

The Independent UK

Trump administration backs Kalshi, Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

The Trump administration has backed Kalshi and Polymarket in a court fight over whether prediction markets constitute gambling

Fortune

Exclusive: Crypto venture firm Dragonfly closes $650 million fourth fund—even as blockchain VCs face ‘mass extinction’

An inside look at the fast-rising firm, from its early Polymarket bet to its mysterious founding partner.

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news in one place.

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The Guardian - US

Surging prediction markets face legal backlash in US: ‘Lines have been blurred’

At least 20 federal suits filed against companies like Kalshi and Polymarket as lawmakers call it ‘loophole’ for gambling

The Independent UK

Pam Bondi sees her odds spike on Polymarket to be first cabinet member ousted after combative Epstein testimony

The Department of Justice has been under intense scrutiny for months over its handling of documents related to the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein

The Guardian - US

‘Another way to gamble money’: booming prediction markets prompt confusion and concern

Polymarket and Kalshi are less regulated than betting sites, but users can win or lose large sums on the platforms

Euronews

Bad Bunny's Super Bowl show: Why is Cardi B upsetting traders?

Cardi B joined singers Karol G and Young Miko, along with actors Jessica Alba and Pedro Pascal, during the halftime spectacle.

The Independent UK

Cardi B’s Super Bowl cameo sparks formal complaint to US regulator

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show on Sunday but a dispute has arisen as to whether the star was singing

The Independent UK

Cardi B's cameo in Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show leads to dispute on prediction markets

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show

Barchart

I Created My Own Prediction Market. What It’s Telling Me About the S&P 500 Now, and What Comes Next.

My proprietary ROAR score acts akin to Polymarket or Kalshi. It’s showing the odds of an up move in the S&P 500 are lower than the odds of a down move coming next.

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