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The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Trump Takes Nevada, Now Leads Harris In All Swing States: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump is now ahead of Kamala Harris in all six swing states being monitored by Polymarket, marking the first time the ex-president has taken the lead in all battleground states since his race with the vice president started.

International Business Times

Trump Sets Record High Lead Over Harris, Ties Nevada: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump has just logged his largest lead over Kamala Harris on Polymarket's event contract for the presidential elections – he also tied Nevada, the remaining swing state on the platform that Harris previously led.

International Business Times

Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets—an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims

More than $1.9 billion in crypto has been wagered on this presidential election on Polymarket. Here's why that matters

Fortune

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Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell a different story

Prediction markets currently show Trump is more likely to win the 2024 presidential election.

Fortune

Trump Takes Michigan, Wisconsin – Now Leads Harris In 5 Of 6 Polymarket Swing States

Former President Donald Trump has taken five of six swing states on Polymarket, leaving Vice President Kamala Harris with only Nevada and marking a significant milestone in the GOP frontrunner's standings, at least for Polymarket bettors.

International Business Times

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election

Harris’s lead over Trump has significantly narrowed to a single point as bets surge in favor of the Republican, according to a betting odds tracker

The Independent UK

Satoshi Nakamoto Trends – Len Sassaman Leads $4.6M Polymarket Bet For HBO's Bitcoin Creator Reveal

Satoshi Nakamoto trended on X from Sunday night through early Monday as the crypto community discussed who HBO will reveal as the "real" creator of Bitcoin – Len Sassaman is the leading persona on a Polymarket event contract.

International Business Times

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Trump Flips Harris, Retakes Pennsylvania With 10-Point Lead: Polymarket US Presidential Election Forecast

Trump has retaken the lead from Harris on Polymarket, and he has also snatched back Pennsylvania, but this time, with a double-digit lead – did the rally featuring Elon Musk help change the tides?

International Business Times

$KAMA, $TRUMP Lead PolitiFi Tokens Surge Amid Tight Polymarket Race

Many politics-themed memecoins have been surging overnight as the race between VP Kamala Harris and ex-President Donald Trump heat up on Polymarket, where crypto users gather to bet on who they think will be the 47th president of the United States.

International Business Times

Polymarket Bets On Likely Presidential Winner Pass $1B – $300M Collectively On Trump, Harris

Less than two months into the November elections, Polymarket bets on who will win the presidential race have passed $1 billion, and the numbers keep climbing.

International Business Times

Polymarket reportedly seeks to raise an additional $50 million amid election fever

Fortune

Harris Claims Pennsylvania, Now Leads Trump In 4 Swing States: Polymarket 2024 US Elections

VP Kamala Harris has taken Pennsylvania and Nevada from Donald Trump, marking a seeming turnaround in the views of crypto bettors regarding the tight presidential race.

International Business Times

Election forecasters explain Trump odds

Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others

Salon

Second Trump assassination attempt isn’t changing the state of the race

Odds in prediction markets for the presidential election remain where they were before a would-be shooter was caught on Sunday.

Fortune

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International Business Times

Trump Reclaims Lead On Polymarket After Second Reported Assassination Attempt

Donald Trump is now leading Kamala Harris by 1% on Polymarket after the FBI reported a second assassination attempt on the ex-president at his West Palm Beach golf course.

Fortune

Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

The real markets are moving out of Trump trades, too.

International Business Times

America Bets Big on Presidential Election: Crypto Bets on Polymarket Smash $100M

US Election betting is gaining steam on Polymarket, as $100M in Presidential election bets sees Trump take the lead on Kamala.

Fortune

Polymarket likely to remain offshore for now despite ruling in favor of U.S. election betting

The predictions market Kalshi successfully sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which might appeal the ruling.

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Salon

Nate Silver gets heat for election model

X users say the FiveThirtyEight founder made some dubious data choices to boost Trump

International Business Times

Democrats Have Higher Chances Of Winning Presidency, Popular Vote: Polymarket Traders

Less than two months before the November election, Polymarket traders are betting on a wide range of election-related questions, and so far, a larger number of bets have been placed on Democrats winning both the presidency and the popular vote.

International Business Times

Trump Widens Lead In Swing States Pennsylvania, Arizona On Polymarket

Ex-President Donald Trump has widened his lead in two swing states of six battleground states being tracked by Polymarket – he is also still in the lead in two other swing states, while Vice President Kamala Harris is up in the remaining two key states.

International Business Times

Republicans Have High Chances Of Flipping Senate: Polymarket Traders

Polymarket traders have pushed Republicans' chances of flipping the Senate in the 2024 elections, but they also spiked Democrats' odds of controlling the House.

International Business Times

Trump Takes Pennsylvania, Now Leads In 4 Swing States: Polymarket 2024 Election Forecast

Donald Trump is now leading VP Kamala Harris in four swing states on Polymarket, and the latest addition is a critical state that has been home of defeat and victory for both the Republican and Democratic parties.

International Business Times

Trump Leads Harris In 3 Swing States On Polymarket After RFK Jr. Pullout

Following Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s suspension of his presidential bid, Donald Trump has taken a strong lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in three key states — at least among Polymarket traders — while in one battleground state, the rivals are tied.

Fortune

In election race, prediction markets are challenging traditional polling

Before scientific polling, newspapers relied on betting markets to predict the outcome of elections, often with remarkable accuracy.

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