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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Sellouts and Selloffs

Plus: A deportation fight, pussy hats in Maine, antagonizing Brown University, and more...

Reason

Welcome to the tyranny of the bosses

Salon

Labor Strife Looms Over MLB Opening Day

Plus: Untenable in Tampa, Cinderella didn't show up for March Madness, TGL, and more.

Reason

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Why getting the numbers right isn’t enough for pollsters to be credible in today’s polarized climate

President Donald Trump launched his second term with a series of executive orders, asserting his authority more decisively than in 2017. His moves, shaped directly by unfiltered public opinion, align – for now – with what many Americans want. Pollsters are tracking this public sentiment in real time.

The Conversation

ABC News staffers ‘crying and upset’ amid sweeping layoffs that gutted GMA3 and shuttered FiveThirtyEight

‘It's a very somber scene in the building—people crying and upset,’ a network staffer said. ‘Lots of panicked phone calls between staffers trying to make sense of it’

The Independent UK

Out-of-date polls to wrong aid amounts: factchecking Trump’s Congress address

The president’s marathon address to a joint session of Congress was littered with false claims he’s been corrected on but continued to repeat

The Guardian - US

Trump Gaza Is Finally Here

Plus: The House spending bill passes, Elon Musk's intelligence, Aella in The Atlantic, and more...

Reason

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The Cultural Consequences of Trump's Victory

Plus: A listener asks the editors to name their least favorite national emergency from the list of those currently in effect.

Reason

Facebook's New Free Speech Policy Shows Business Getting Back to Business

It’s the latest company to step back from dangerous alliances with political factions.

Reason

Meta’s move to end fact-checking reflects turn toward freewheeling internet

Mark Zuckerberg’s invocation of ‘cultural tipping point’ comes as number of fact-checking initiatives has plateaued.

Al Jazeera

Polymarket users are hoping to profit from the devastation in California, betting on how far the deadly blaze will spread

The betting pools for some predictions have exceeded $100,000.

Fortune

Nate Silver on "The Rise and Fall of 'Fact-Checking'"

"'Fact-checkers' as the high priests of journalism had a political beginning at Facebook — and have met a political end."

Reason

Joe Pardons Hunter

Plus: Media figures and politicians react to the news, Donald Trump appoints Kash Patel to head the FBI, and more...

Reason

Democrats slam Kamala Harris’ ‘self-congratulatory’ review of election defeat

The vice president and her top team are accused of a stunning lack of self-relection and failing to listen to voters

The Independent UK

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The Guardian - US

Polls underestimated Trump support for third election in a row

Chance, demographics or even people reluctant to voice support for Trump could all be reasons for discrepancy

Reason

Bullish on DOGE

Plus: ICC goes after Netanyahu, Biden's questionable competence, Gaetz's sexcapades, and more...

Salon

Silver: Retire, Biden

The pollster thinks Kamala Harris should lead for the last few month's of the Biden presidency

Latin Times

Trump Rages After Dems Successfully Use Republican SpaceX Trip to Appoint Biden Judges: 'No More Judges'

Senate Democrats confirmed more of President Biden's judicial nominees, despite Trump's efforts to block new appointments before January.

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news in one place.

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International Business Times

Pollster Nate Silver Calls On Biden To Resign Immediately, Let Harris Serve As President: 'It's A Very Difficult Job'

Pollster Nate Silver has urged President Joe Biden to resign immediately and let Vice President Kamala Harris take over for the final weeks of his term.

Latin Times

Pollster Nate Silver Calls on Biden to Resign Immediately, Let Kamala Serve as President: 'It's a Very Difficult Job'

Pollster Nate Silver has urged President Joe Biden to resign immediately and let Vice President Kamala Harris take over for the final weeks of his term.

The Independent UK

Concerns about Biden’s mental and physical acuity have plagued Biden’s campaigns and presidency

The Guardian - UK

TechScape: Betting markets come for everything – and the FBI comes for a betting market

This week in tech news, online predictors are riding high after a slew of accurate US election wagers. Plus, Trump and Musk try to weaponize the communications regulator•

The Conversation

Better but not stellar: Pollsters faced familiar complaints, difficulties in assessing Trump-Harris race

An oracle erred badly. The most impressive results were turned in by a little-known company in Brazil. A nagging problem reemerged, and some media critics turned profane in their assessments.

Salon

Nate Silver predicts Democratic comeback

Silver compared Trump's win to George Bush's victory in 2004, which was a turning point for the Democratic Party

Latin Times

Top Pollster Finds 'Hidden' Signs of a Comeback for Democrats Despite Republican Win, Predicts 'Challenging' Term for Trump

One of the only pollsters to predict the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election somewhat correctly, Nate Silver, has stated that he sees a variety of challenges lying ahead for President-elect Donald Trump, further predicting positive outcomes for the Democratic Party.

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