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The Latest Breaking News from Moody

The economy's prospects are reliant on the 'fortunes of the well-to-do' says Moody's, if the ultra-rich get nervy that means recession

Mark Zandi says of the rich: "If they turn more cautious, for whatever reason, the economy has a big problem."

Fortune

Moody's Mark Zandi Warns Of 'Uncomfortably High' 48% Probability Of US Recession In Next 12 Months

The U.S. economy faces an “uncomfortably high” 48% probability of slipping into a recession within the next 12 months, according to Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.

Benzinga

This housing data is the 'most critical economic variable' for predicting recessions, and it's now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.

Fortune

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Billionaire Ray Dalio Warns Debt-Laden US Economy Faces 'Heart Attack,' Advises Investors To Hold 10–15% Gold

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio issued stark warnings about the U.S. economy’s mounting debt burden, comparing the fiscal strain to arterial blockage that could trigger a financial “heart attack.”

Benzinga

Is Moody's Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?

While Moody's has underperformed the Nasdaq over the past year, analysts remain moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

Barchart

Moody's Stock Nudges 8%—Warren Buffett Walks Away With $888 Million

Warren Buffett has quietly scored one of 2025's biggest wins, and it didn't come from tech or AI. Instead, the Oracle of Omaha's fortune swelled by nearly $900 million this year thanks to his long-standing bet on Moody's Corp. (NYSE:MCO). Shares of the credit-ratings giant have climbed from $473 at…

Benzinga

Senegal’s rating downgrade: credit agencies are punishing countries that don’t check their numbers

Senegal’s dramatic two-notch credit rating downgrade in February 2025 by the credit rating agency Moody’s was followed by a Standard & Poor’s downgrade in July.

The Conversation

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Moody's Chief Economist Flags 22 States As Already In Recession Or At 'High Risk,' Says Only These 2 States Are 'Holding Their Own'

The U.S. economy is on the "edge of recession," and states accounting for nearly a third of national output are already in or at high risk, Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said Sunday, citing fresh state-level readings of employment and output.

Benzinga

Trump's Immigration Policy Is 'Adding To Costs And Inflation,' Warns Moody's Chief Economist

Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s, has issued a warning that the immigration policies of President Donald Trump could potentially cause inflation to rise from the current 2.5% to almost 4% by the start of next year.

Benzinga

Warren Buffett's Top 10 Berkshire Bets Span Apple, Coca-Cola, Finance And Oil

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has a history of beating the SP 500, but his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE:BRK)(NYSE:BRK) currently trails the stock market index. Here's a look at the current top holdings of Berkshire Hathaway and how they're performing year-to-date.

Benzinga

Top 20% Drive America's Economy While 80% Grapple Inflation — Here's Why This Spells Trouble

America's consumer engine is leaning harder than ever on the rich, with new Moody's data showing the top 20% of earners now account for more than half of all spending while outlays by middle- and lower-income households flatline.

Benzinga

Will U.S. Government Bonds Rally?

U.S. long-term interest rates remain elevated in July 2025, with the long bond futures in a two-year consolidation range that is closer to technical support than resistance. When the long bond futures eventually break higher or lower, the move will impact markets across all asset classes.

Barchart

A New Kind Of ETF Is Tempting Yield Chasers—With New Trade-Offs

In their quest for yield, individual investors discovered a new favorite: private credit ETFs. A corner of the market previously held by institutions and pension plans— private debt— has entered the mainstream through funds that offer access, income, and “alternative” exposure in the comfort of an ETF package.

Benzinga

Moody's Stock Gains Traction On Confident Outlook

Following its second-quarter earnings release on Wednesday, Moody’s Corp. (NYSE:MCO) stock saw an uptick.

Benzinga

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GOBankingRates

If Amazon and Walmart Sell Crypto, Should You Buy It?

Amazon and Walmart may enter the crypto space—should you invest if retail giants start selling digital currency? Here’s what investors need to know first.

Benzinga

Moody's Warns Of Housing Market 'Red Flare' As Sales Plunge, Builders Back Off

The U.S. housing market is showing signs of a significant slowdown, with a sharp decline in sales and a potential threat to the economy, according to Moody’s.

Benzinga

Private Credit Market Sees Opportunity Amid Donald Trump's Tariff Policies, Moody's Reports

President Donald Trump‘s tariff policies are said to be providing a significant boost to the private credit market.

Barchart

Here's What to Expect From Moody’s Next Earnings Report

Moody’s is set to report its second-quarter earnings next month, and analysts are projecting modest growth in earnings.

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Fortune

Entrepreneur and investor Gary Vee's top tips to use and embrace AI

Vee thinks fear and ignoring AI will only harm you in the long run.

Fortune

War, tariffs, and Trump: What members of the FOMC will be thinking as they finalize their base rate decision today

ANALYSIS: Here are a handful of factors likely impacting the Fed’s interest rate decision being announced today.

The Conversation

How high can US debt go before it triggers a financial crisis?

The tax cuts bill currently being debated by the US Senate will add another US$3 trillion (A$4.6 trillion) to US debt. President Donald Trump calls it the “big, beautiful bill”; his erstwhile policy adviser Elon Musk called it a “disgusting abomination”.

The Guardian - US

Trump bill set to add trillions to US debt pile – can America stop it climbing?

Economists are concerned, politicians are angry – but the national debt keeps growing, no matter who’s in charge

Barchart

Why Did a Rating Agency Send U.S. Treasury Bonds Lower?

Credit downgrades increase borrowing costs. In mid-May 2025, one of the leading rating agencies downgraded the world’s leading economy. Market analysts are divided on whether a downgrade will impact markets and asset prices over the coming days, weeks, and months.

AAP

Credit rating downgrade cost unknown for debt-hit state

No research has been done on how much interest repayments on spiralling state debt would soar from a possible credit rating downgrade.

The Conversation

Africa’s new credit rating agency could change the rules of the game. Here’s how

For governments, a credit rating is more than a financial signal. It is a verdict that can influence the cost of borrowing, access to markets and, ultimately, the ability to provide for their citizens.

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