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The Latest Breaking News from Moody Analytics

Office buildings haven’t been this empty since (at least) 1979—and Texas is taking it on the chin the most

Back-to-work mandates aren’t working.

Fortune

Commercial real estate has a ‘muted’ outlook after a near-death experience in 2023, Moody’s economist says—and ‘office will continue to face the most strain’

“Across all sectors,” says Ermengarde Jabir, senior economist with Moody’s Analytics, “there will be a continued recalibration of sorts.”

Fortune

Commercial real estate is coming off a half-trillion-dollar wipeout. It'll be a lot more complex than ‘mass obsolescence' next year, industry watchers say

While the commercial real estate market is facing substantial headwinds, it’s far from collapsing. But it’s still a rough road ahead, particularly for the office sector.

Fortune

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WeWork’s $18 billion bankruptcy is the last thing the reeling commercial real-estate sector needed

Offices now face “a potential new wave of unexpected vacancies,” Moody’s wrote. WeWork’s first move was to dump 70 leases—35 of them in New York.

Fortune

The housing market is starting to crack—Sellers are cutting prices at record levels as 'You can no longer price based off of where sales were'

Nearly 7% of sellers posted price drops in October, Redfin says—well above the 3.6% average.

Fortune

Single-family rentals are a ‘superstar’ investment. Here are the top 10 markets to buy in

“All of these headwinds for the single-family purchase market are proving to be tremendous tailwinds for the single-family rental market,” says Ermengarde Jabir of Moody’s Analytics.

Fortune

Housing market outlook: Where to expect mortgage rates in 2024, according to 8 leading research firms

On Friday, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped to 7.19%. But where will it go next?

Fortune

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Housing market head fake? Boise slips back into correction-mode

Recently published data from Freddie Mac suggests that Boise's spring bounce might indeed be a head fake.

Fortune

Warning: Student loan cliff ahead

For millions of individuals that means real spending cuts — which could translate to a slowdown for the economy overall.

Axios

Morningstar makes a bold call that housing market affordability will be restored by 2025. Here's how

Morningstar expects mortgage rates to plunge to 4.00% by 2025.

Fortune

5 reasons why top economist Mark Zandi says ‘this time is different’ and he’s ‘betting against’ a U.S. recession

“This time is different,” Moody’s Analytics’ chief economist wrote in a CNN op-ed Tuesday. “Odds are that we will buck history and avoid recession.”

Fortune

This city dodged the 2008 housing market crash—now it’s the epicenter of the pandemic correction

Austin is arguably the epicenter of both the Pandemic Housing Boom and the Pandemic Housing Correction.

Fortune

Moody's: Home prices in Chicago are undervalued while Tampa is overvalued—here's how the other 402 major housing markets look

In Q1 2022, U.S. home prices as measured by Moody's Analytics were "overvalued" by 27%. Now it's 17%.

Fortune

Moody's upbeat on decoupling trend

Emerging markets in Asia-Pacific are expected to benefit from supply chain decoupling, as the US and Europe are looking to diversify risks in security-related industries, say analysts.

Bangkok Post

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Fortune

The ‘dysfunctional’ debt ceiling fight could cause a $12 trillion blow to the American economy if Washington doesn’t get its act together

There have been 78 debt ceiling deals since 1960 and zero failures. Could this time really be different?

Fortune

The housing market correction would regain new life if the U.S. defaults, says Moody’s chief economist

The U.S. Treasury could run out of cash as soon as early June. That could deliver a big hit to the housing market.

Fortune

What to expect next from the housing market

Fortune rounded up revised home price forecasts from 9 major research firms.

The Independent UK

Faster IRS offering better picture on looming debt 'X-date'

That big infusion of cash that Congress approved last year to shape up the beleaguered IRS is having an unexpected side benefit

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The Guardian - US

Senate Democrats highlight ‘terrible choice’ of Republicans’ debt ceiling plan

Republican proposal mocked as ‘Default on America Act’ at hearing drawing attention to potential cuts to key programs

The Independent UK

Democrats pressure GOP on debt limit, spending cuts

Senate Democrats are looking to pressure Republicans into resolving the impasse on the debt ceiling

The Independent UK

Debt deadline: White House meeting set, but no solution yet

Facing the risk of a government default as soon as June 1, President Joe Biden has invited the top four congressional leaders to a White House meeting for talks next week

The Independent UK

As Biden, McCarthy butt heads on debt, what are differences?

There are stark differences in how President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy want to shore up the government’s finances

Fortune

Housing market analysts are divided: Zillow and Moody’s issue starkly different home price forecasts for the nation’s 400 largest markets

Here's a closer look at regional housing forecast models produced by Zillow and Moody's.

Fortune

If you want a job, you should probably move to Nashville

Most of the top 10 cities with a thriving job market are in the Sunbelt.

Fortune

Housing market correction weakens—where 7 revised forecast models see U.S. home prices going from here

As the housing market moves into its busier seasonal period, the correction is losing steam. Some markets are rising again.

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