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The Latest Breaking News from Jonathan Bernstein

Jonathan Bernstein: Hold the Iowa caucuses in spring. It won’t change much

The Democratic National Committee is expected to make some big decisions in the next few days about the presidential nomination calendar. It seems likely that the party will seek to demote Iowa from its role as the first state to select a presidential nominee.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Democrats are making a mistake on the debt limit

Fresh off an unexpectedly resilient performance in the midterms, the Democrats appear to be bungling things right off the block by making a major political miscalculation on how to handle the debt ceiling.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Nancy Pelosi is the greatest speaker in history

Nancy Pelosi has been simply the best speaker of the House of the modern era. She is probably the best speaker in U.S. history. It was time for her to step down from her leadership role, but it likely will be a long time before we see someone of either…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Trump needs TV ratings more than VIP endorsements

Declaring one’s candidacy for the presidency two years before the election, as Donald Trump did Tuesday night in a lethargic speech long on fabulism and short on memorable phrases, is a sign of weakness. Candidates launch their bids for the presidency early when they know they have a lot of…

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Jonathan Bernstein: The most surprising thing about the midterms

The best thing about the 2022 midterm elections so far is how utterly normal everything has been.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Spin election results now, win political battles later

The polls won’t close for more than a week, but there already is plenty of spin casting blame and taking credit for midterm wins and losses. Yet as misleading as some spin can be, pre- and post-election attempts at explanation play an important role in the political process, whether or…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Democrats were smart to meddle in GOP primaries

It appears that a controversial Democratic campaign tactic might be working.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Democrats govern, Republicans bulldoze. Just look at Ukraine

On Monday, the House Progressive Caucus delivered a letter to President Joe Biden urging a change of course on Ukraine. On Tuesday, they completely withdrew it. Was this confusing chain of events another case of “Democrats in Disarray,” one of the most frequently diagnosed illnesses in American politics?

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Jonathan Bernstein: Reward demagogues, get more demagogues

The news last week that former presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard was leaving the Democratic Party might not have seemed at first like a very big deal. Gabbard, after all, didn’t seek re-election to her House seat in 2020 and hadn’t played a role in party politics since her failed presidential…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Jan. 6 hearings were memorable even without many soundbites

What will we remember from the House hearings investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol?

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Jonathan Bernstein: Have you seen the latest polls? Now forget them. Here’s why

Glance quickly at polling data published over the last month and you might think that Democrats had substantially improved their prospects after Labor Day, only to squander those gains as September wound down. That would be the wrong conclusion.

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Jonathan Bernstein: What makes this year’s midterms so hard to predict

Very few people will confess to being such loyal followers of their political party that they automatically adopt whatever positions it takes. Most voters like to think of themselves as independent: They have their own opinions on the issues, and they support candidates, not parties.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Even mainstream Republicans are pretty extreme

The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday passed its updated version of the Electoral Count Act, the archaic and loophole-filled law governing how Congress certifies presidential elections. The Senate has yet to act on its own version, which is similar, but with 10 co-sponsors from each party, it appears to…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Bolduc’s about-face creates dilemma for Trump

Donald Trump isn’t known as a great strategic thinker. But he sure has a major strategic choice to make right now, and it’s far from clear what the best play is.

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Reason

A Senate Candidate's Belated Acknowledgment of Biden's Victory Is a Reality Check for a Trump-Dominated GOP

Until he won the Republican nomination in New Hampshire, Don Bolduc insisted that the presidential election was stolen.

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Jonathan Bernstein: New Hampshire shows GOP isn’t learning the right lessons

Republican Party dysfunction was on display in New Hampshire Tuesday. Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan and both the state’s House Democrats were considered highly vulnerable this year. So what did Republicans do, in this state that has voted for Democrats for president five times in a row and defeated Donald Trump…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Trump judge’s bad ruling might do some good

A decision Monday by a federal judge granting former President Donald Trump’s request for an independent review of the FBI’s seizure of documents at Mar-a-Lago last month has prompted an unusually forceful backlash within the legal community. It isn’t just partisan analysts who are reacting with dismay; criticism of Judge…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Republican paranoia could cost the party in November

The terror that mainstream conservative Republican politicians have felt over the threat of being called insufficiently conservative — of being tagged as Republicans in Name Only — has made governing difficult for them since the 1990s. But whenever they were the minority party in Washington, they could correctly assume that…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Florida Republicans indulge their crank candidates

Primary elections in Florida on Tuesday provided yet another illustration of how the parties differ when it comes to dealing with their cranks (and worse): Republicans seem to be more tolerant than Democrats.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Look! It’s a sign democracy isn't totally broken

Lots of things are broken right now in U.S. politics. The good news is that there’s new evidence that one important thing is working just fine: When bad things happen presidents get less popular, and when good things happen? Their approval ratings improve.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Liz Cheney’s defense of democracy needs a political strategy

Two years ago, Wyoming Republican Liz Cheney was on her way to being a future speaker of the House. She was the third-ranking House Republican with a totally safe seat. She lost that position in the House Republican conference, and now has lost her seat entirely. All because she decided…

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Jonathan Bernstein: A Biden surprise: bipartisan foreign policy

It’s time to give President Joe Biden credit for achieving something no one predicted: bipartisanship in foreign policy.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Democracy is hard. It’s supposed to be

Legislation helping veterans exposed to toxic trash-incineration pits while serving overseas finally passed the Senate this week. Comedian and activist Jon Stewart, who had worked hard to elevate the problem and then to help get the bill across the finish line, expressed frustration that the process had been so arduous.

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