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The Latest Breaking News from John Curtice

Nigel Farage live: Two arrested after Reform leader has milkshake thrown at him in Clacton

Farage launches campaign in Essex constituency and announces intention to take over the Tory party

The Independent UK

John Curtice says Nigel Farage could cost Tories up to 60 seats

Farage’s return to frontline politics, first revealed exclusively by The Independent at Monday lunchtime, coincides with devastating new polling figures for Rishi Sunak’s party

The Independent UK

How seriously should we take Scotland's General Election polls?

THE polls have made for pretty torrid viewing for the SNP and pro-independence supporters of late...

The National (Scotland)

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Labour to take most seats in Scotland at General Election, new poll suggests

SCOTTISH Labour are on course to win up to 28 seats at the General Election, a new poll suggests...

The National (Scotland)

John Curtice warns Sunak his national service plan will not close poll gap with Labour

Exclusive: Top pollsters have warned that the national service plan will not help Rishi Sunak beat Keir Starmer’s Labour

The Independent UK

John Curtice warns Sunak that Tory election victory would ‘biggest turnaround in history’

Leading pollsters believe that Sunak’s monumental task of winning the general election would defy history

The Independent UK

Polling guru John Curtice’s general election prediction for ‘brave or foolhardy’ Rishi Sunak

Polling guru John Curtice gives his views on Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer’s chances in the general election on 4 July

The Independent UK

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Labour gains in leave areas may cut swing needed for overall majority

Analysis reveals voters switching from the Tories in pro-Brexit seats could make a Starmer election victory easier to achieve

The Guardian - UK

Labour are ahead in the polls, but have they won hearts and minds? These charts suggest not

There are signs the party’s polling lead is a bit soft. But with the Tories trailing in leadership and economy, experts are not sure it will matter

The Guardian - UK

OPINION - If the Tories didn't like last night, they may not enjoy the upcoming local elections

This isn't going to be one of those newsletters that opens with a Tony Blair reference, a convoluted 1990s pop culture storyline or a self-deprecating yet witty personal anecdote. We can leave those at home. Instead, allow me to regurgitate three things the godfather of psephology, Sir John Curtice, said…

Evening Standard

Starmer’s £28bn green plan was bungled but Labour still has bold hopes for the country – and the planet

Even if pared back, the party still has the only real growth policy in town, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK

Low general election turnout likely with ‘dull as dishwater’ Sunak and Starmer

Polling expert says similarity between two main parties and clear Labour lead also likely to suppress voting numbers

The Guardian - UK

Rishi Sunak faces triple by-election washout, polling gurus warn

Exclusive: Rishi Sunak has been warned by Britain’s top pollsters that his party faces failure in three upcoming by-elections

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak refuses to criticise Tory MP who said struggling children in his town were ‘products of crap parents’ – UK politics as it happened

Asked if he agreed with MP for Bury North’s comments, PM says it’s important children grow up in household where parents work

The Guardian - UK

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Evening Standard

Rishi Sunak may call general election for November 14, says top political expert Sir John Curtice

The Prime Minister could fire the starting gun for the election in his speech to close the Tory annual rally in Birmingham on October 2

Evening Standard

UK general election: Three potential dates when Britain could go to the polls

Factors Rishi Sunak will be considering as he weighs up the best time to call the election

The National (Scotland)

SNP should have had new leader ready to step up, says Philippa Whitford

AN SNP MP has insisted the party should have focused more on succession planning for Nicola Sturgeon.

The National (Scotland)

Humza Yousaf insists SNP can ‘come out on top’ at next General Election

HUMZA Yousaf said he is confident the SNP can “come out on top” in the forthcoming Westminster general election.

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news in one place.

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The National (Scotland)

John Curtice gives verdict on support for Scottish independence in 2023

A LEADING elections expert has given his verdict on public support for Scottish independence over the last year.

The National (Scotland)

John Curtice: Tories ‘fighting on two fronts’ as Rishi Sunak fails to reverse damage

RISHI Sunak has been unable to reverse the damage to the Tories caused by Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, according to polling expert John Curtice.

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak rules out a 2025 general election: ‘2024 will be an election year’

The prime minister told a gathering of journalists that next year will be an election year, despite speculation he was considering delaying it for as long as possible

The Independent UK

Tories on the hunt for ‘talented’ candidates to stand as MPs

In a sign the party may be struggling to find strong candidates to fight all 650 seats, Richard Holden has said Tory HQ is ‘redoubling our efforts’ to recruit and select candidates

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak faces election wipeout even if flights to Rwanda take off, top pollster warns

Exclusive: Devastating forecast has Tories heading for landslide defeat – as voters care more about economy and NHS rather than deportation policy

The National (Scotland)

John Curtice gives verdict on how Rwanda bill may impact General Election

POLLING expert John Curtice has given his verdict on how Rishi Sunak’s Rwanda bill will impact the timing of the next General Election ...

The Independent UK

Tories facing general election wipeout with just 130 seats, says polling guru

Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives are looking at the ‘worst outcome in the party’s history’, says UK’s top polling guru

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