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The Latest Breaking News from Jerome Powell

Even Larry Summers thinks we might avoid a recession after months of gloomy predictions: 'Soft landings are a triumph of hope over experience, but sometimes hope does triumph'

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers said in September that there was a 75% chance of a U.S. recession. But after the latest inflation data, he says he's a little more hopeful.

Fortune

Fed's Powell tests positive for COVID, has 'mild' symptoms

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has tested positive for COVID-19 and is experiencing “mild symptoms,” the Federal Reserve announced

The Independent UK

There is no US labor shortage. That’s a myth

There is, however, a shortage of jobs paying sufficient wages to attract workers to fill job openings

The Guardian - US

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US rate of inflation falls to 6.5 per cent

Drop from 7.1% in November raises hopes that the worst of the inflation storm could be over

Evening Standard

The Fed’s ongoing housing market ‘reset’ sees buyer cancellation rate at one of the nation’s largest homebuilders spike to 68%

KB Home announced that its buyer cancellation rate in the fourth quarter of 2022 spiked to 68%. That's up from 13% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Fortune

What is ‘supercore’ inflation? Economists are obsessing over a narrow slice of price data

Economists think excluding sectors like housing gives a better idea of what’s really happening with inflation.

Fortune

ASX gains despite higher inflation, job-vacancies dip, and World Bank warns of looming recession — as it happened

The cost of living continues to climb and employers are still scrambling to find workers, but the Australian share market has jumped 1 per cent thanks to big miners and a rise on Wall Street.

ABC News

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Powell vows to limit Fed’s climate role to protect independence

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sought to draw a line around how far the central bank will use its powers to promote a greener economy, vowing it will not be a climate regulator.

Tribune News Service

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell says central bank will not be a "climate policymaker"

The comments were part of a larger speech on the importance of an apolitical Fed.

Axios

Powell: Fed has only narrow role to play on climate change

The Federal Reserve has a limited role to play combating climate change, Chair Jerome Powell said Tuesday, a stance that puts him at odds with environmental activists who have pushed central banks to take steps to limit lending to energy companies

The Independent UK

A 1981-level mortgage rate shock has the housing market in a correction—these 7 leading research firms predict what's next for rates

There are only three levers that can depressurize affordability: Rising incomes, falling home prices, and falling mortgage rates.

Fortune

America might just do the impossible and avoid a recession, according to top economist Mark Zandi

Moody’s chief economist says a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy is in the cards. But BlackRock’s Rick Rieder warns, “Policymakers’ ability to stick this landing for the economy and markets is still very much up in the air.”

Fortune

Another strong month of hiring would put Fed in tough spot

The jobs report the government will issue Friday is expected to show that December was another healthy month for hiring — a boon for those looking for work but a problem for the Federal Reserve if it persists

The Independent UK

U.S. inflation battle is not yet won, says top IMF official

The IMF's second-in-command is backing the Fed in its fight against inflation, advising Jerome Powell to "stay the course" with rate hikes.

Fortune

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Reason

Congress and the Federal Reserve Could Be Setting Us Up for Economic Disaster

If lawmakers keep spending like they are, and if the Fed backs down from taming inflation, then the government may create a perfect storm.

Chicago Tribune

Editorial: Economic downturns hurt Americans. They can kill Somalis

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell kicked off the holiday season with another interest-rate increase. He also lit the fuse for a sell-off in the stock market by telling the world, “We have more work to do,” signaling additional rate hikes in 2023. A year-end “Santa Claus Rally” could still materialize,…

Fortune

We're in the second biggest home price correction of the post-WWII era—here's the latest data

The Fed’s “difficult [housing] correction” has seen the U.S. housing market flip from inflation mode to deflation mode.

Tribune News Service

Key inflation gauge cools, US consumer spending misses forecasts

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measures eased in November while consumer spending stagnated, suggesting the central bank’s interest-rate hikes are helping to cool both price pressures and broader demand — with more tightening on the way.

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Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says there’s a ‘new definition’ for a soft landing and argues ‘we can’t avoid a recession’

Americans may have to accept higher inflation, or face a serious recession as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to get to its 2% inflation target, El-Erian warns.

Tribune News Service

Economists place 70% chance for US recession in 2023

Economists say there is a 7-in-10 likelihood that the U.S. economy will sink into a recession next year, slashing demand forecasts and trimming inflation projections in the wake of massive interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

Reuters

The world fears a new China COVID wave, ponders how to help Xi

Officials and global health experts outside China are anxiously watching a COVID-19 surge there, worried a nation of 1.4 billion people is inadequately vaccinated and may not have the healthcare tools to treat a wave of illness expected to kill more than one million people through 2023.

Tribune News Service

Powell puts US pay hikes at heart of Fed’s 2023 inflation fight

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has a new North Star to guide his fight against inflation, and it will put American paychecks at the heart of monetary policy next year.

Fortune

Inflation is ‘basically over’ and the Fed is ‘making a terrible mistake’ by continuing to raise interest rates, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says

Jeremy Siegel warned that inflation was going to become a problem in 2020. Now, he says the Fed has done too much to fight it, and is set to cause a recession.

Axios

Fed chair Powell on the U.S. labor shortage: COVID, retirements, missing immigrants

Close to half a million working-age people lost their lives to COVID.

The Independent UK

US recession a growing fear as Fed plans to keep rates high

After scaling 40-year highs, inflation in the United States has been slowly easing since summer

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