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The Latest Breaking News from Jeff Schmid

S&P Futures Climb on Hopes of Middle East Conflict Resolution, U.S. ADP Jobs Report and Retail Sales Data on Tap

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are trending up +0.51% this morning as oil prices fall and risk appetite improves on hopes for an imminent end to the conflict in the Middle East.

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Stocks Surge on Signs the US and Iran Seek to End War

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Tuesday closed up +2.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +2.49%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +3.43%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) rose +2.88%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Stocks Muted Before the Open as Investors Digest Nvidia Earnings, U.S.-Iran Talks in Focus

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are down -0.05%, and March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH26) are down -0.09% this morning, pointing to a muted open on Wall Street as investors digest earnings from AI bellwether Nvidia, while nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran have begun.

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Stocks Rise Before the Open on U.S. Economic Optimism, Earnings and Jobless Claims Data in Focus

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are up +0.33%, and March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH26) are up +0.23% this morning, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as strong U.S. jobs data boosted optimism about the nation’s economic outlook.

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Stocks Settle Mixed as Fed Rate Cut Chances Slip

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) closed unchanged on Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.29%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26 ) rose +0.01%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26...

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Dollar Gains as Strong Jobs Report Reduces Fed Rate Cut Chances

The dollar index (DXY00 ) recovered from a 1.5-week low on Wednesday and finished up by +0.08%. The dollar moved higher after Wednesday's better-than-expected US Jan payroll report pushed T-note yields higher and dampened speculation of additional Fed interest rate cuts. The chance of a Fed rate cut at next...

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Stocks Turn Mixed as Software Stocks Slide

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.02%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.10%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26 ) are down -0.08%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains on a Strong US Jobs Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) recovered from a 1.5-week low today and is up by +0.16%. The dollar is rallying on today's better-than-expected US Jan payroll report, which pushed T-note yields higher and dampened speculation of additional Fed interest rate cuts. The chance of a Fed rate cut at next...

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Stocks Boosted by Chip Demand Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.60%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.32%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26 ) rose +0.24%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains on Strong US Economic News and Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) climbed to a 6-week high on Thursday and finished up by +0.26%. The dollar is moving higher today on better-than-expected US economic news. Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell to a 6-week low, and the Jan Empire and Jan Philadelphia Fed business outlook surveys rose more...

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Stocks Sink as Chip Stocks Retreat and Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down by -1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down by -0.51%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down by -1.91%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) fell -1.07%, and December...

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Dollar Finds Support from Higher T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday rose by +0.02%. The dollar moved slightly higher on Friday, as hawkish Fed comments boosted T-note yields. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that, given higher inflation, the more prudent course would have been for the Fed to wait for more information before...

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Stocks Tumble on Tech Stock Weakness and Higher Bond Yields

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down by -0.86%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -1.85%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are down -0.85%, and December...

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Dollar Supported by Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.05%. The dollar is slightly higher today, boosted by hawkish comments from the Fed. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that, given higher inflation, the more prudent course would have been for the Fed to wait for more information before cutting...

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Stocks Pressured by Broadcom Sell-Off and Higher Bond Yields

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down by -0.20%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.16%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -0.75%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are down -0.22%, and December...

Axios

Fed cuts interest rates, signals pause going into 2026

President Trump has spent most of 2025 demanding lower interest rates.

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Stocks Settle Mixed as Fed Comments Suggest a Rate Cut Pause

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down -0.05%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.65%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.06%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) fell -0.02%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains and Gold Plunges as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Fall

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rose by +0.13% on Friday as it recovered from Thursday’s 2-week low. The dollar moved higher on Friday, following hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, who argued against additional Fed rate cuts. The dollar fell back...

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Stocks Recover on Strength in Megacap Tech and Energy Producers

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.67%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.11%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are down -0.05%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains and Gold Plunges as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Recede

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is up by +0.15% as it recovers from Thursday's 2-week low. The dollar is moving higher today as a slump in stocks has boosted liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar extended its gains today on hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid,...

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Stocks Set to Extend Rally as Investors Await Key Earnings and Fed Speak

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ25) are up +0.42%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are up +0.57% this morning, pointing to further gains on Wall Street as strong tech earnings and easing U.S.-China trade tensions continued to buoy sentiment.

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Stocks Finish Higher on Earnings Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed up +0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.09%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.48%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.27%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains and Gold Falls on Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday rose by +0.27% and posted a fresh 2.75-month high. Hawkish comments on Friday from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack were supportive of the dollar when they cited reasons for opposing Fed...

Axios

The rate cut skeptics' case

Federal Reserve hawks argue that cutting rates further right now would be a mistake.

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Dollar Firms on Hawkish Fed Speak

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.22% and posted a fresh 2.75-month high. Hawkish comments today from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan were supportive of the dollar when they cited reasons for opposing Fed rate cuts. The dollar also rose...

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