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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

Goldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge

Goldman said it expected six weeks of Hormuz disruption, with Brent crude averaging $105 per barrel in March and $115 in April before retreating to $80.

Fortune

Inflation in France jumps as Iran war hits growth and spending

France is heading for a sharp rise in inflation this spring as soaring oil prices linked to the conflict in Iran erode household purchasing power, with growth expected to slow in early 2026, the national statistics agency said.

Radio France Internationale

Bulletin AM briefing: New screen time guidance for under-5s – and today’s other top stories

Here are five of this morning’s biggest stories

The Independent UK

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Inflation unchanged at 3% in 'calm before the storm' figures for February

City economists said the figures were largely irrelevant as they did not reflect the impact of the war in the Middle East

Evening Standard

ECB could raise eurozone rates ‘as soon as next month’; oil price dips on peace talk hopes – as it happened

UK inflation stays at 3% in February as petrol prices fall and food inflation eases, before Iran war drives up global energy costs

The Guardian - UK

FTSE 100 Live 25 March: Markets rally, inflation steady before oil price shock

Stocks today rallied after the price of oil fell on hopes of a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.

Evening Standard

UK inflation remains steady prior to impact of Iran conflict

The rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation was unchanged from the 3% level reported in January, the Office for National Statistics said.

Evening Standard

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Politics latest: Starmer vows to go ‘further and faster’ on renewable energy to bring bills down during Iran crisis

Comes after Reeves warns Middle East conflict may cause ‘significant’ economic challenges for Britons amid soaring prices

The Independent UK

UK inflation holds at 3% but warning issued over Iran war

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Inflation stays at 3% but Iran war set to send prices spiralling

Investors pricing in possibility of ‘multiple interest rate raises’ this year

The Independent UK

UK inflation held at 3% before global energy price hit from Iran war

February annual rate in line with expectations, but Food and Drink Federation fears it is ‘calm before storm’

The Guardian - UK

‘Political Band-Aid’: cutting Australia’s fuel excise could make petrol shortages worse, economists say

Fuel tax cuts also risk adding to inflation by enabling some households with enough income to spend more

The Guardian - AU

ABC strike: national broadcaster switches to BBC programming as staff walk off the job for 24 hours

Managing director Hugh Marks says broadcaster will not back down on workers’ demands despite severe disruption to television, radio and digital

The Guardian - AU

Households could face 8% jump in food prices due to Iran war, experts warn

IGD (Institute of Grocery Distribution) said the conflict in the Middle East could result in food inflation more than doubling by the summer.

Evening Standard

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The Independent UK

Shopping bill could soar by £150 due to Iran war, grocery expert warns

Food inflation could hit 8 per cent by the summer, putting extra pressure on consumers battling a cost-of-living crisis

Barchart

Dollar Advances Amid Concerns About Escalation of the Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose by +0.42%. The dollar moved higher on Tuesday as the ongoing war with Iran drags on, boosting safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, Tuesday's +4% jump in crude oil prices may stoke inflation and prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, a...

The Independent UK

Chances of a Federal Reserve rate hike fade as inflation worsens

The jump in gas prices stemming from the war in Iran has had another impact that may also affect many Americans’ finances: Higher interest rates

Evening Standard

Oil majors boost FTSE 100 amid war uncertainty

The FTSE 100 index closed up 71.01 points on Tuesday.

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AAP

Calm before storm: RBA braces for spikes and hikes

The economy is expected to be hit with a savage inflation spike which will in turn increase the chances of more interest rate hikes.

Evening Standard

Inflation expected to remain at 3% before Middle East conflict sparks jump

Analysts are expecting CPI to have held relatively steady in February, or dipped slightly, from the 3% level recorded in January.

The Conversation

Fact check: Pierre Poilievre’s misinformation on Joe Rogan’s podcast disrespects Canadians

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, head of Canada’s official opposition, recently became the first Canadian political leader to appear on the controversial Joe Rogan Experience podcast.

The Free Financial Advisor

8 Hidden Fees That Can Eat Away at Your Retirement Savings

The dream of retirement shines bright, filled with freedom, flexibility, and the chance to finally enjoy the life built over decades. That dream, however, demands more than just saving diligently and picking the right investments. Every dollar matters, and every percentage point counts, especially when time magnifies both gains and…

The Independent UK

How to look after your money during the Iran war: Energy bills, savings and pensions

From pensions to mortgages to energy bills, here’s what to do now

The Independent UK

Wealthy Americans are turning to dollar stores in droves as inflation continues to bite

Walmart and Dollar General saw higher December traffic, showing shoppers are seeking savings, even at stores they do not typically visit

Evening Standard

Bank must be prepared to act despite Iran war uncertainty, says Huw Pill

The Bank of England’s chief economist said he sees mounting risks to inflation from the energy shock caused by the Iran conflict.

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