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The Latest Breaking News from GDP

Fall in UK GDP puts focus back on expectations of tax rises in autumn budget

Depressing data comes as Rachel Reeves and her team were daring to hope business confidence was recovering

The Guardian - UK

Warren Buffett Indicator Soars To 208%, Surpassing Dot-Com, 2008 Levels

The renowned Warren Buffett Indicator, a crucial valuation metric comparing total stock market capitalization to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), has reached 208.42%.

Benzinga

FTSE 100 Live 11 July: BP higher but index stalls, GDP figures disappoint

A surprise contraction in UK GDP today provided a downbeat note at the end of a record-breaking week for the FTSE 100 index.

Evening Standard

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Rachel Reeves to try to reassure City investors after unexpected UK GDP fall

Chancellor’s Mansion House speech to cite ‘opportunity’ in attempt to shrug off anaemic economic performance

The Guardian - UK

Rachel Reeves says May’s fall in GDP is ‘disappointing’; Trump tariffs knock markets – as it happened

UK GDP falls by 0.1% in May, following 0.3% fall in April.

The Guardian - UK

Which European economy stands to suffer the most from US tariffs?

One-fifth of the EU’s exports are heading to the US. Tariffs on the carmaking sector hit the German economy the most, but potential tariffs on the pharmaceutical one could cost substantially to the Irish economy.

Euronews

Jamie Dimon gets real with Europe about shrinking to just 65% of American GDP over 10-15 years: 'That's not good'

"You're losing," the JPMorgan Chase CEO said at an event in Dublin organised by the Irish foreign ministry.

Fortune

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Can Forex Interest Rates Predict the Next Recession?

The foreign exchange (forex) market is also the largest and most liquid market in the world, with more than 7.5 trillion dollars being traded per day.

inkl

The six starkest warnings from OBR as report lays bare the perilous state of UK public finances

Here are the most stark warnings in the Office for Budget Responsibility’s report

The Independent UK

Public finances on ‘unsustainable’ path due to spending promises, says OBR

Richard Hughes told a briefing in Liverpool that the projected rise in state pension spending would contributed to growing UK national debt.

Evening Standard

The EU presidency says Europe must rearm within 5 years. It's unclear how that could be done.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen says Russia could pose a security threat to the European Union by the end of the decade and that defense industries in Europe and Ukraine must be ramped up

The Independent UK

OBR: Vulnerable UK faces 'daunting' threats to stability of public finances after welfare climbdown

Successive governments’ efforts to put the UK public finances have met with only “limited and temporary success” says watchdog

Evening Standard

UK public finances on ‘unsustainable’ path amid growing climate, debt and pension costs

Office for Budget Responsibility warns national debt on course to hit 270% of GDP by 2070 amid volatility

The Guardian - UK

Could new pipelines shield Canada from U.S. tariffs? The answer is complicated

It should come as no surprise that United States President Donald Trump’s tariff threats have renewed interest in building pipelines that don’t rely on access to the American market. Almost four million barrels of crude oil cross the Canada-U.S. border each day, generating revenue of more than $100 billion per…

The Conversation

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Fortune

The world could get carved up into these 3 blocs as Trump tariffs fuel deglobalization. Here’s which side each country might join

Wells Fargo sketched out a hypothetical scenario where the world is divided into three trading blocs led by the U.S., China, and the EU.

Benzinga

Elon Musk Backs Warren Buffett's Brutal '5-Minute Deficit Fix' To Ban Congress From Reelection If They Blow the Budget: '100% This Is the Way'

More than a decade ago, Warren Buffett said the national deficit could be solved in just five minutes. His plan? "You just pass a law that says that any time there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for reelection."

The Independent UK

A year of Keir: the first 365 days of Starmer in power

Three trade deals, five U-turns, 2.5 per cent of GDP on defence, eight ministerial resignations, 49 welfare rebels, record small boat crossings – the statistics behind Keir Starmer’s first year as prime minister explored by Alicja Hagopian and David Maddox

Reason

Environmental Regulations Are Literally Baking Europeans to Death

Europe’s lower GDP, higher electricity prices, and strict environmental regulations impede the use of air conditioning, contributing to the continent’s annual 175,000 heat-related deaths.

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The Independent UK

Somalia has relied on aid for decades – can it survive without it?

Somalia is struggling with hunger, security and the impact of the climate crisis, despite decades of aid money worth billions of dollars, writes Nick Ferris. As aid money gets cut, is this the time for countries to wean themselves off aid dependency – and can they do it?

Euronews

Spain overtakes Japan in GDP per capita - what is behind the numbers?

Spain’s economy is thriving, driven by a global boost in services, mainly tourism, overtaking the sluggish performance of the Japanese economy in the last decade.

Benzinga

This Obama Economist Just Called Out a Math Problem That Could Derail Trump's Debt Promise—And the Clock Is Ticking

Former Obama economic advisor Jason Furman just dropped a reality check that should have every investor paying attention to Washington’s fiscal math. In a pointed social media post, the Harvard economist highlighted a glaring problem with the Trump administration’s promise to lower the debt-to-GDP ratio by at least 3 percentage…

GOBankingRates

6 Warning Signs of a Recession — and Where the US Economy Stands, According to George Kamel

Finance expert George Kamel recently broke down six recession warning signs. GOBankingRates asked finance experts how they feel about the recession markers.

Benzinga

Under the Radar: Income and Discipline Over Hype and Hope

As we head into the second half of 2025, the British economy is showing signs of stabilization, but it remains a structurally sluggish environment. The UK managed to avoid a technical recession in 2024, and GDP is growing again.

The Guardian - UK

UK households hit by squeeze on living standards despite fastest growth in G7

ONS confirms GDP growth at 0.7% between January and March but households saving less of disposable income

Evening Standard

UK economic rebound confirmed as consumer spending strengthens – ONS

The Office for National Statistic said gross domestic product rose by an unrevised 0.7% between January and March.

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